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C00002 00002 A collection of all the remarks about unemployment
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A collection of all the remarks about unemployment
4. Whenever, it is proposed to increase productivity, the
question of unemployment arises. The hard-boiled answer is that
increases in productivity are always eventually absorbed in either an
increase in goods and services or in an increase in leisure.
Certainly, more than a ten-fold increase in productivity has already
been absorbed in this country. This answer is inadequate, because
even temporary unemployment produces considerable suffering and
anxiety even when the direct hardship is mitigated. There are
several policies that might contribute to a solution. In the first
place, part of the cost of the conversion of an industry to a new
technology that uses less labor is the readjustment of the displaced
workers. The industry should buy the jobs at a price that reflects
the age and length of service of the worker, the re-employment
opportunities, and the bargaining strengths of the parties. For new
workers, the government should see to it that there is an excess of
jobs in each major area of qualifications. Part of such a scheme
might be government financing of inventories as is practiced in
agriculture as a means of smoothing out fluctuations. Certainly, the
government must do more than simply juggle the money supply and the
interest rate or even control wages and prices. All this is out of
my line as a technologist, but somebody has to demand that the
economists make their contribution too.
3. There ought to be a social contract that tells the
relative rewards of different occupations. This contract would be
subject to change by politics and other power struggles but would
reduce the amount of conflict. This is because economic struggles
are needed at present even to maintain a group's present share of the
GNP. It could be accomplished with a universal cost-of-living
adjustment to salaries with a variable deflator to adjust total
demand to total supply. A corresponding regulator on the price side
should also exist, but it should be less rigorous, because of the
greater differentiation of products makes rigid rules difficult to
define properly.
5. The stock, commodity, and real estate brokers can be and
should be substantially wiped out by a uniform computerized property
exchange that everyone could join for a $25 initiation fee and
charges for keeping track of transactions. Workers have had to worry
about technological unemployment for many years. Now let it be the
brokers' turn.
6. All technological improvements should produce
unemployment; otherwise they aren't worth making. Full employment is
and should be assured by a general economic servomechanism. If we
understood this mechanism better, it would work better.